29 Aug 2023

Rent or Buy 2023

Posted by Andrew Dybenko

Knowing whether to rent vs buy can always be a difficult decision. As my wife likes to remind me, sometimes both options are good options. While I advise you to consider the financial implications of renting vs buying, there are also non-financial considerations. The stability and forced savings of homeownership for some might be given more weight than the freedom and improved cash flow that renting offers to others. Other factors to consider as you look at the line comparison for buying vs renting include how current trends might have future impacts.

-If you think mortgage rates will go down, home prices are more likely to increase and lower financing costs will drive more Buyers to the market. 

-Rents have been increasing and fast. Average rents have been increasing 10% or more year/year for the last few quarters and this seems unlikely to change given Canada’s population drive.  Anybody renting something built after 2018 should anticipate large rental increases per year. I would recommend budgeting +10% annual rental increase for the next 2 years when making your decision.

-Sales and listing activity have remained below 5 and 10 year averages. This should mean pent up activity is building on both the sell and buy side.  

-Those with job security and looking for stability in living arrangement should lean towards to owning.  

-Those looking for more freedom and shorter turnover would be better suited to renting.

Leslieville Condo:

An entry level 1 Bedroom Leslieville condo (with balcony but no parking) can be found in the low $500,000 purchase range, a similar unit is renting for about $2,200. An end user is likely to benefit by renting in the short term 1-2 year range vs buying. However, a purchase could prove to be beneficial if we continue to see double digit rent increases and flat or slightly reduced interest rates from what we are seeing now. With a cap rate of just 2.7%, investors should continue to show restraint on this type of purchase until they feel confident in higher rental rates and limited supply of this type for this type of unit.

Leslieville 450 Sq Ft 1 Bed Condo No Parking
Rental 2,200 Purchase +CMHC 515,000 534,529
First/Last Deposit 4,400 Down Payment (20%) (5.2%) 103,000 26,500
Cash Required for Closing Costs
Less FTB Rebate
5,075 5,075
Total Deposit 4,400 Total 108,075 31,575
Rent 2,200 Mortgage @ 5.5% 2,500 3,100
Property Taxes Property Taxes 225 225
Maintenance Fees Maintenance Fees 350 350
Insurance 50 Insurance 75 75
Utilities and Home Repairs 150 Utilities and Home Repairs 250 250
Monthly Cost 2,350 Monthly Cost 3,400 4,000
GIC Trade off @ 4.5% (20%) 389 Monthly Equity Gained 742 917
Monthly Expense Net 1,961 Monthly Expense Net 2,658 3,083
For Investors
Annual Rent 26,400
Additional Rental Costs
(Vacancy/Marketing/PropertyMan.)
1,650
Annual Costs 12,450
Net Operating Income 13,950
Cap Rate (NOI/Purchase Price) 2.71%

Etobicoke Townhome (3 Bed 3 Bath 1,800 Sq Ft): 

Looking for a good amount of space and less maintenance than a Detached home? Etobicoke townhomes can offer good square footage at a significant discount to homes with more property. Much like the Leslieville Condo an Etobicoke townhome is currently much more appealing to rent. However, for many Buyers a townhome can often prove to be a purchase their family can grow into. Purchasing for the long term can minimize future transaction and moving costs. I also expect rent for similar properties to continue to escalate. Therefore while this purchase is not appealing in the short term it could prove to be a good long term hold. Particularly if you think rates are peaking. From an investor standpoint this purchase remains highly speculative as even with a 20% increase to rent, your cap rate is expected to remain around 3.5%.

Etobicoke Town
Rental 4,300 Purchase 1,200,000
First/Last Deposit 8,600 Down Payment 20% 240,000
Closing Costs No Rebate 32,475
Total 8,600 Total 272,475
Rent 4,300 Mortgage 5.5 5,860
Property Taxes Property Taxes 450
Maintenance Fees Maintenance Fees 250
Insurance 75 Insurance 100
Utilities and Home Repairs 300 Utilities and Home Repairs 700
Monthly Costs 4,675 Monthly Costs 7,360
GIC Income Trade off @ 4.5% on DP 990 Monthly Equity Gained 1,733
Monthly Expense Net 3,685 Monthly Expense Net 5,627
For Investors
Annual Rent 51,600
Additional Rental Costs
(Vacancy/Marketing/PropertyMan.
3,225
Annual Costs 17,625
Net Operating Income 33,975
Cap Rate (NOI/Purchase Price) 2.83%

Scarborough Bungalow: Homes With Additional Income Continue To Be Appealing

Homes with separate rental income have always proven to be a more appealing cash flow purchase for budget conscious Home Buyers. A Scarborough Bungalow with basement apartment is not only appealing to an end user willing to rent out the basement, with cap rates in the high 4% range, investors are likely to also take note. In an affordability driven market this type of home is likely to have some the strongest upside potential in price appreciation. However, I anticipate rental appreciation to be more limited on this property going forward.

Scarborough Bungalow With Basement Apartment
Rental 3,250 Purchase 1,030,000
First/Last Deposit 6,500 Down Payment 20% 206,000
Closing Costs less rebate 25,675
Total 6,500 Total 231,675
Rent 3,250 Mortgage 5.5% 5,030
Property Taxes Property Taxes 370
Maintenance Fees Maintenance Fees
Utilities and Home Repairs 300 Utilities and Home Repairs 800
Insurance 70 Insurance 120
Monthly Cost 3,620 Monthly Cost 6,320
GIC Trade off @ 4.5% 844 Basment Rental Less Costs 2,000
Monthly Equity Gained Monthly Equity Gained 1,485
Monthly Expenses Net 2,776 Monthly Expenses Net 2,835
For Investors
Annual Rent 66,000
Additional Rental Costs
(Vacancy/Marketing/PropertyMan.)
4,125
Annual Costs 16,005
Net Operating Income 49,995
Cap Rate (NOI/Purchase Price) 4.85%